Ambrey data shows Black Sea now deadlier than Gulf for crews

Crews on oil tankers, cargo ships, and grain carriers face a higher risk of death in the Black Sea than in the Persian Gulf this year, according to data from Ambrey and the International Maritime Organisation. The region has become the most dangerous body of water for maritime workers, surpassing the Gulf, which has traditionally drawn more global attention due to its strategic importance.

At least 40 seafarers have been killed in the Black Sea in 2026, compared to 24 confirmed deaths in the Strait of Hormuz. More than 570 vessels were targeted during the year. Estimates indicate that drone attacks in the Black Sea occur at a rate more than six times higher than in the Gulf. Ambrey noted that the third quarter of the year saw an average of more than four attacks per day. Some ships were hit deliberately, while others were caught in crossfire when nearby ports came under bombardment.

Oleh Hryhoriuk, chair of the Marine Transport Workers' Trade Union of Ukraine, described the current conditions as severe. "For me, the Black Sea and calling [at] Ukrainian ports is near suicidal," Hryhoriuk said. The proximity of the conflict to EU and NATO territory has increased the threat level for vessels operating in the area.

Shipping companies are responding to these risks based on economic factors. Record-high freight rates have led some firms to accept the danger of carrying oil from the Middle East. In the Black Sea, however, most operators are reluctant to send their fleets. Industry groups state that profit margins in the region are lower, making the higher risks less justifiable for many carriers.

Romanian Foreign Minister Oana Țoiu said Russia is turning the Black Sea into a danger zone for civilian vessels. The shift in mortality rates has altered the risk assessment for maritime routes, with the Black Sea now recording more fatalities than the historically volatile Gulf region.