SportsLine experts target high scoring clash and close AFC North duel in Week 10

SportsLine experts and their proprietary projection model have released their top selections for the National Football League Week 10 slate. The analysis focuses on three specific matchups scheduled for Sunday, including the high-profile contest between the San Francisco 49ers and the Dallas Cowboys, as well as the divisional rivalry game between the Pittsburgh Steelers and the Cincinnati Bengals. These picks are being highlighted alongside a promotional offer from BetMGM Sportsbook for new users.

The model, which simulates every Football Bowl Subdivision game 10,000 times to identify value in spreads, money lines, and totals, has identified the over in the Cowboys versus 49ers game as a primary target. The projection suggests that more than 55.5 total points will be scored in this contest. The reasoning behind this pick relies heavily on the statistical disparities within the Dallas roster, which currently features a strong scoring offense but a vulnerable defense.

Dallas ranks sixth in the league in scoring offense, averaging 27.3 points per game, yet sits 25th in scoring defense, allowing an average of 26.2 points per game. Recent games have illustrated this trend, with the Cowboys allowing 33 points to the Cardinals and 23 to the Colts over the last two weeks. The over has hit in six of the Cowboys' last nine games, including two of their final three contests.

The San Francisco 49ers bring their own offensive firepower to the matchup. Quarterback Brock Purdy is described as playing at an MVP level, leading an offense that ranks third in the league with 29.4 points per game. The 49ers also benefit from recent reinforcements, with wide receiver Deebo Samuel returning from injury and Keenan Allen added via the trade deadline. However, the team will be without wide receiver Mike Evans, who is listed as inactive due to an Achilles injury.

In the other featured game, SportsLine expert Adam Thompson favors the Pittsburgh Steelers as 3.5-point underdogs against the Cincinnati Bengals. Thompson noted that the Bengals have scored over 30 points in four straight victories, though they have faced some of the league's weaker defenses during that stretch. The Steelers, by contrast, have allowed 35 points in their last three weeks combined.

Thompson believes that head coach Mike McCarthy has found a formula for winning with the current Steelers roster, including a Week 3 victory over Cincinnati. The expert predicts the Steelers will manage the clock effectively to keep the game tight, regardless of the final result. The model projects the over in the Cowboys game to hit in 64% of simulations, while the Steelers pick is part of a broader strategy to find value in close matchups.

Bettors can combine these selections into a parlay wager at BetMGM Sportsbook. A combined bet on the recommended picks would result in a payout of +264, meaning a stake of $100 would yield a profit of $264 if all selections win. Odds are subject to change, and the offers are available to new users who utilize the promotional code CBSSPORTS.

The Week 10 schedule kicks off Sunday at 4:25 p.m. ET with the 49ers visiting the Cowboys. This is followed by the Steelers hosting the Bengals in a matchup between the first-place teams in the AFC North. The SportsLine team continues to provide picks across various sports, including the NBA, college football, and UFC, using the same simulation methodology.

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The promotional offer associated with the CBSSPORTS code provides new users with $150 in bonus bets if their first wager wins. If the qualifying wager loses, users can receive up to $1,500 in bonus bets, depending on their location. This offer is designed to encourage participation in the upcoming weekend's games, particularly the high-scoring potential of the Cowboys and 49ers contest.